Price Gains Overshadowed by Lagging Housing Demand

By Greg Sax on Thursday, June 10th, 2010

May of this year marks the first time since August of 2005 where we've had five consecutive months of year-over-year median price increases. However, pending sales figures declined sharply in May. It is clear that the tax credit party is over and the hangover has truly set in.

The May median sales price for the Twin Cities 13-county metropolitan area was $175,000, a 6.1 percent increase over last May, but the only segment of the market where prices actually increased was the lender-owned (foreclosure) submarket. Traditional and short sales both posted year-over-year price declines.


New listings were down across the board; pending sales were down for every category except short sales—which were up 28.4 percent over May of last year.

The median sales price of traditional homes (excluding foreclosures and short sales) in May was $198,000, down $12,000 or 5.7 percent from the $210,000 figure posted last May. The foreclosure sales price showed a welcome 7.6 percent increase to $125,000, while short sale properties posted a 7.0 percent decline to $143,250.

There were 3,910 signed purchase agreements in May, a decrease of 24.6 percent from last year. That is the greatest year-over-year decrease since April 2006. Seller activity also slowed considerably, with 6,335 new listings posted. This represents a 22.4 percent decrease from last May. In fact, by year-to-date figures, there have been only 23 more pending sales so far this year compared to last.

Like many regions across the country, we saw an uptick in activity as the April 30 federal tax credit deadline approached. When the tax credit ended, buyers seem to have lost interest without the substantial incentive enticing them into the market.

In terms of year-over-year comparisons, housing inventory remained fairly constant in the Twin Cities. The 26,412 active listings for May weighed in at just 1.0 percent under May of last year. The supply-demand ratio increased by 11.0 percent to 5.05. This means that there are about 5 homes available per buyer for June.


    One thought on “Price Gains Overshadowed by Lagging Housing Demand”

    I talk to people almost daily that are either being booted out of their home or are walking from it. Those that try to sell it keep running into their neighbors foreclosures at much lower prices. Many are just throwing up their hands. When you combine this with the unemployment (the real 20+%) in this country, this death spiral is still spinning with no end in site.

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