The Skinny Blog

Weekly Activity

Tryptophan and chatty in-laws were not able to curb the appetite of local home buyers, as purchase activity easily gobbled up last year's levels. Sellers were apparently stuffed and lethargic, as they brought fewer new properties onto the market than during the same holiday week last year. As we approach the slowest time of year
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The 889 purchase agreements signed in the Twin Cities for the week ending May 21 were 40.2 percent higher than the same week in 2010. That's a big number, and it's certainly good news, but let's break it down. Three short weeks ago, current sales activity was 37.4 percent below last year's levels. The truth
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The Twin Cities housing market reacted as anticipated in the week following the end of the government tax credit. For the week ending May 8, there were 1,133 Pending Sales, a 4.4% drop below last year at this time. The year-over-year decline, which was the first since March 6, was likely owing to the number
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From the Department of Nice Surprises, we saw this come through the e-waves today: From: TDoyle@realtors.org [mailto:TDoyle@realtors.org] Sent: Wednesday, August 19, 2009 3:50 PMTo: tdoyle@realtors.orgSubject: A Brief Note from NAR Research Good afternoon.  By now, you have received your 2nd quarter NAR MLS Economic and Market Watch Reports.  We hope you and your members continue
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Week of August 10, 2009 Woof, it's getting hot out there. The Twin Cities housing market is entering the dog days of summer, and with that comes a bit more stagnant air revolving around new inventory. The 1,637 new listings for the week ending August 1 are 12.2 percent below last year's numbers. Over the
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Week of August 3, 2009 August. Welcome to another summer month in the Twin Cities housing market. Pending sales in July ended on a fairly positive note. The 1,009 purchase agreements signed for the week ending July 25 were 21.4 percent above last year at this time. The 1,652 new listings this week are 9.0
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We here at MAAR trust you enjoyed a relaxing and respectful Memorial Day weekend. For the week ending May 16, there were 1,960 new listings, 10.2 percent less than the same week in 2008. The decline in new listings has helped improve the larger picture of total active listings. Inventory is being sold through at
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Not everyone is thrilled by increasing numbers, but what they represent in the Twin Cities housing market is nothing to worry for 108 minutes over. Two increases—pending sales and housing affordability—are indicating improvement in the local housing market. There were 1,120 pending sales for the week ending May 2, a healthy 26.3 percent above last
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Low mortgage rates, high affordability and government programs designed to encourage home purchases are continuing to spur home sales this spring despite an iffy economy. The week ending April 18 was the fourth consecutive week of pending sales activity that was more than 20 percent higher than during the same week in 2008. There were
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It’s becoming a wild and active spring for the Twin Cities housing market. First, pending sales ought to give REALTORS® some joy in their Easter baskets, with 1,004 reported for the week ending April 4—a 28.7 percent increase over last year and the best single week since May 2007. New listings went skyward compared to
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There's no April Foolin' this time of year regarding the Twin Cities housing market. We're able to report several encouraging signs this week as the market seems to be "Def" to any signs of slowdown.   For the week ending March 28, pending sales continue to reflect strong growth, increasing 28.2 percent over last year.
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With mortgage rates plunging downward in recent weeks in response to actions taken by the Federal Reserve, home buying activity remains strong. For the week ending March 21, pending sales in the Twin Cities were 13.0 percent higher than the same week last year, while the number of new listings on the market was basically
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Has everyone remembered to “spring” forward?  It looks like the Twin Cities housing market certainly has, as the new season has brought in an uptick in sales along with the warm weather.  The market can only hope that “spring” fever is more than just a figure of speech. Speaking of pending sales, while they have
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Brr! Did the last snowstorm convince you that winter has not loosened its icy grip on the Twin Cities quite yet? It seems assured that March will lion in and lamb out, but the Twin Cities housing market is not expected to show the same pattern, as sales continue to climb upward when compared to
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One. That's the number of times over the last 33 weeks that we've had fewer pending sales this year than we did a year ago. And the week in question was Thanksgiving—a week where making an offer on a home is typically ignored in favor of turkey and afternoon naps during another annual loss by
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Did you find your true love on Saturday night? Or were you out there showing houses and adding to the already sizable gains in pending sales seen in the Weekly Market Activity Report? Either way, it appears that more Twin Cities home buyers are finding their hearts' desires as we enter the second month of 2009. New listings continue
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There's much "change" in the air around the world today. And there is also change happening on the streets of the Twin Cities metro area, as the number of new listings appearing in our Weekly Market Activity Report takes its ascendant year-opening uptick. Despite the increase, new listings for the week ending January 10 have
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The New Year rang in with the normal post-holiday increase in new listings, but listings are still down from the same week last year. Pending sales for the week ending January 3 showed a strong increase during the year-end transition, rising nearly 40 percent compared to last year. Over the last three months of the
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As the holidays loom, activity in the the Twin Cities housing market that isn't lender-mediated (i.e. foreclosures and short sales) is quieting down quickly, while the lender-mediated market is plugging along with no discernable effect from the usual seasonal ebbs and flows. For the week ending December 13 there were 1,240 total new listings and
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As fall turns into winter—and winter turns dark and cold—activity in the Twin Cities housing market has entered its annual hibernation. On a weekly basis, new listings, total inventory and sales are all declining as consumers batten down the hatches and prepare for the holidays. Relative to this time last year, however, activity is stronger.
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As we mentioned last week, the presence of Thanksgiving in our reporting dates is throwing off the weekly numbers considerably for last week and this week. After last week's numbers showed massive increases in listings and sales over last year, this week's numbers predictably show large decreases. For the week ending November 29, new listings
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Comparing weekly activity for the next two weeks will be mostly worthless for one simple reason. Thanksgiving occurred a week earlier in 2007 than it did in 2008, and the expected downward swoon which takes place during the turkey holiday makes year-over-year comparisons difficult. For instance, our numbers this week state that new listings and
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For 19 weeks out of the past 20, pending sales have been higher than during the equivalent week in 2007. There were 649 pending sales for the week ending November 15, up a healthy 19.1 percent from the same week last year. Of these newly signed purchase agreements, 53.5 percent were for lender-mediated foreclosure or
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The big letdown in home sales that many of us have expected following the recent drops in consumer confidence has yet to materialize in the Twin Cities housing market. For the week ending October 25, there were 602 pending sales, up 17.1 percent over the same week last year. Despite the uncertainties swirling in the
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Home sales continued their recent upward streak for the week ending October 11, with pending sales posting a 21.1 percent increase over the same week in 2007. While this doesn’t keep pace with the extreme increases seen throughout September, it remains a positive indicator of recent buyer demand. Almost half of the properties bought during
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After spending weeks hypothesizing what role the sunsetting FHA seller-funded downpayment assistance was having in stimulating the recent jump in home sales, we may have our first indication this week. For the week ending October 4—the first week we’ve measured in which the program was unavailable to prospective Twin Cities home buyers—pending sales were ahead
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The September sales party continued for the week ending September 27, as pending sales jumped by a whopping 58.4 percent from 2007. The extravagant nature of these sales increases will not likely continue through the fall, given the current economic uncertainties and an expected downward trend in consumer confidence. New listings also increased for the
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September home sales in the Twin Cities housing market continue to post huge gains over 2007. For the week ending September 20, there were 42.8 percent more pending sales than the same week last year. Over the last seven weeks, there have been 5,866 signed purchase agreements, up more than 1,500 units from the 4,363
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As we enter the fall season, buyer activity is still on a nice little streak, posting its sixth consecutive week of double-digit year-over-year growth in pending sales. During this six-week period, there have been 5,085 purchase agreements signed in the Twin Cities housing market compared to only 3,816 during this time in 2007. For the
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Like The Godfather: Part II, the Twin Cities housing market showed a surprisingly strong sequel to last week’s huge upswing in pending sales. For the week ending September 6, there were 749 purchase agreements written—a rise of 49.8 percent from the same week in 2007. This comes on the heels of last week’s then-unthinkably large
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Like Adam West as Batman, the market for home sales in the Twin Cities went POW! during the week ending August 30. For the week, there were 965 purchase agreements signed—a whopping increase of 51.3 percent from the same week last year. That’s the highest year-over-year increase in pending sales since we began tracking that
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Once again, the big story in this week’s activity report is the huge upswing in pending sales activity relative to one year ago. For the week ending August 23, there were 818 pending sales, an increase of 26.8 percent from the same week in 2007. Over the last three weeks, we have now posted 545
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If you’re looking for some insight into just how sluggish the second half of 2007’s home sales were, look no further then the year-over-year comparisons with sales from this year. For the week ending August 16, 2008, there were a whopping 33.0 percent more pending sales than the same week last year—an increase of more
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Zoinks! Pending sales for the week ending August 9 were a startling 21.0 percent higher than one year ago, posting 900 sales as compared to 744 a year ago. While one week of such robust increase doesn’t justify the opening of stored champagne bottles, it is another welcome sign of reviving buyer demand. While a
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For the fifth consecutive week and ninth of the last twelve, there were more purchase agreements written on homes than one year previous. For the week ending August 2, there were 820 pending sales—an increase of 2.2 percent from the same week in 2007. Over the last three months, pending sales have held relatively steady,
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There are fewer homes to choose from for today’s prospective buyers than there were a year ago. There are currently 32,978 residential housing units up for sale in the Twin Cities region, down 5.5 percent-or about 2,000 units-from this time last year. The cause of the lessened supply is a decrease in new listings combined
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In the Twin Cities housing market, sales are flat like a New York pizza and supply is down like grandma’s comforter. Fortunately for us, the data confirms our kitschy similes. Pending sales for the week ending July 19 are ahead of the same week last year by 3.8 percent, while new listings fell by 13.0
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Housing supply in the Twin Cities continues its descent. For the week ending July 12, there were 11.5 percent fewer new listings on the market than there were one year ago. Over the last three months, there have been roughly 4,000 fewer homes on the market than there were during the same period in 2007.
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Prospective homeowners appear to have celebrated our Independence holiday by buying a home. For the week ending July 5, there were 735 signed purchase agreements (pending sales), up 7.3 percent from the same week one year ago. New listings increased by 2.5 percent for the same time period comparison but took the expected dive from
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For the week ending June 28, pending sales in the Twin Cities housing market dipped slightly from the year previous, posting 43 fewer sales than the same week in 2007. New listings for the same time period comparison were only 6 listings higher, a meager 0.3 percent increase. Our overall buyer trajectory this year is
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New listings continue to lag behind last year’s pace in the Twin Cities housing market. For the week ending June 21, new listings dropped by 10.6 percent compared to the same week in 2007. This is the sixteenth consecutive week of year-over-year decline, a period during which there have been a total 5,881 fewer new
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Home sales are continuing along a relatively smooth course so far this summer, with newly signed purchase agreements (pending sales) increasing by 3.8 percent over last year for the week ending June 14. Over the last six weeks, pending sales are behind the same time period in 2007 by only 30 sales, or 0.6 percent.
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“Whoa, we’re halfway there, whoa-oh, livin’ on a prayer” – Jon Bon Jovi, second-most-famous New Jersey rock idol and noted housing economist Bringing our market back to balance involves a two-step process: supply needs to draw down, demand needs to bounce back up. It’s as simple as that. So far, 2008 is proving to be
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Sellers in the Twin Cities housing market continue to cut back on their output, while simultaneously we appear to have finally found the bottom for buyer activity. New listings for the week ending May 31 were a healthy 23.0 percent behind the same week in 2007, a drop of 522 units. For the same time
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Our housing market is forming up; we can now see both the floor and ceiling. For the second consecutive week, pending sales activity in the Twin Cities market is flat compared to last year, dropping just 1.4 percent from a year ago for the week ending May 24. For the same time period comparison, new
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For the first time in ten months—and only the second time in the last two years—the number of purchase agreements (pending sales) signed for our most recent weekly activity set was slightly ahead of one year ago. There were 714 purchase agreements signed for the week ending May 17, which is 1.7 percent higher than
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"X" marks the spot on your typical pirate treasure map, but it can also be an intrepid signifier of a changing market. This edition of the MAAR Weekly Market Activity Report shows off a big, bold, red "X" on our "Last Three Months Inventory for Sale" graph (page 4). The diverging trend lines are a
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In Minnesota, warmer weather typically equates to listing increases. But compared to previous years, the run-up to the 2008 summer selling season in the Twin Cities housing market has been meek. The number of new listings for the week ending May 3 was 16.6 percent behind the same time last year—the ninth consecutive week of
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Ring the bell, sound the alarms, shout from the mountaintops: the number of homes for sale in the Twin Cities region as of today is less than the number for sale at this point last year, a new benchmark which marks an encouraging sign that the market is in an early stage of recovery. This
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For two years, home buyers in the Twin Cities housing market have behaved like medieval kings—looking down upon their vast and glistening kingdom of available homes for sale with a calm and dismissive eye, slowly selecting their properties without hurry or haste. While their reign is not yet over, there are some noticeable cracks in
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The signs are early and nascent, but there are some promising early indicators that the Twin Cities housing market is beginning to correct and pull back from its two year-beeline in the buyer’s favor. While affordability, interest rates and overall supply are still attractive, home sellers are cutting back on new listings substantially in 2008.
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Spring inventory growth remains staid in the Twin Cities housing market as the annual influx of new properties for sale has not been as rambunctious as the levels seen over the last few springs. The total number of homes for sale in the metro area currently sits at 31,615 up only 3.0 percent from the
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The Twin Cities housing market is showing early signs of entering a positive phase of correction. The number of new listings entering the market for the week ending March 29 was 14.8 percent behind the same week last year, the fourth consecutive week of double-digit declines relative to last year. Unfortunately, pending sales remain lackadaisical
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Vamoosh! Home sellers in the Twin Cities are continuing their great disappearing act, with new listings on the market in 2008 sitting far below last year’s rate. Over the last three months, there have been almost 2,500 fewer listings put on the market than there were a year ago—a drop of 9.5 percent. Inventory is
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Potential home buyers waiting for even more new inventory to hit the market may be waiting a long time. For the week ending March 15, there were almost 300 fewer properties put on the market in the Twin Cities than during the same week in 2007—a decline of 12.0 percent. And the number of new
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"So tired, tired of waiting for you" — The Kinks, garage-rock innovators and noted housing economists Still waiting! Buyer activity remains relatively lethargic in the Twin Cities housing market. For the week ending March 8, the number of new purchase agreements signed was 682, behind the same time last year by 18.7 percent. Despite the
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The number of new listings on the market has been relatively small so far in 2008. Over the last eight weeks, there have been roughly 1,200 fewer listings put on the market than during the same eight weeks in 2007—a decline of 6.7 percent. The decline in purchase agreement activity during the same period is
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"The greatest enemy of progress is not stagnation, but false progress." – Sydney J. Harris (1917–86), famed columnist New listings for the week ending February 23 posted 1,832 units, down 10.1 percent from the same week in 2007. Signed purchase agreements (pending sales) declined from last year by 15.9 percent for the same time period
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With mercury dropping, snow falling, lips cracking, wet hair freezing, and cars stalling, February has mostly been an exercise in old-fashioned winter hibernation for those of us brave (or foolish) enough to live in the Twin Cities. The weather is by no means the only explanation for the lackluster showing of area home buyers—the uncertainty
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"Under the right circumstances, groups are remarkably intelligent, and are often smarter than the smartest people in them." – James Surowiecki, The Wisdom of Crowds As 2008 progresses, the picture remains relatively static. New listings are holding steady with last year’s pace, home sales remain sluggish and the total inventory of houses for sale is
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With both the temperature and the region’s home prices dropping, home buyers who are willing to brave the harsh and cold meteorological landscape are finding the home buying environment quite warm and welcoming. The MAAR Housing Affordability Index (HAI), which measures how affordable Twin Cities housing is to its residents, jumped in February to 149—the
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With the new year in full swing and the unofficial national holiday of Super Bowl XLII now under our pizza-and-beer-stretched belts, the number of homes for sale in the Twin Cities housing market is beginning its annual ascent. With just over 28,000 units on the market as of this morning, inventory is 11.8 percent higher
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